Colorado Springs, Colorado 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

836
FXUS65 KPUB 020955
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
255 AM MST Mon Feb 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm and dry conditions persist for our Monday

-Warm and dry into early next week.

- Brief cooldown with slight chance of moisture, late Tuesday into
Wednesday, before dry and warm conditions return.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 254 AM MST Mon Feb 2 2026

Currently..

The ridge axis to our west has broken down and westerly flow has
increased over the area. As a result, humidity recoveries have been
weak overnight across our mountain adjacent plains. As of 2 AM
Walsenburg is at 23% rh, and Trinidad is at 37%. Portions of eastern
El Paso and eastern Fremont are in the 26% to 31% range as well.
Most locations are still seeing west winds this hour, along with
temperatures in the twenties and thirties.

Today and Tonight..

Poor overnight recoveries will lead to a couple hours of potentially
elevated critical fire weather conditions, mainly through our gap
flow area of Huerfano and western Las Animas counties. Models back a
cold front across the plains later this morning though, which should
bring in a gradual increase in dewpoints through the afternoon
hours, but the influence of this front will arrive down south
latest. Daytime highs will be just a few degrees cooler than
yesterday thanks to this frontal boundary, though most locations
will still see highs well into the upper 50s and low 60s on the
plains, with 50s for mountain valleys as well. West winds will be a
bit breezy, with occasional gusts to 25 mph possible over the
mountains and through our gap flows this morning. Northerly gusts
behind the incoming cold front will bring in gusts to around 35 mph,
with strongest gusts across our far eastern plains this afternoon.
Given the duration and spotty nature of elevated fire weather
conditions through our southern gap flow, have held off on
highlights for now. Trends will need to be closely watched, but it
still seems that winds against the mountains will be too marginal to
warrant any highlights where we`re driest today, especially given
the incoming influence of the weak cold front. Overnight lows will
be mild once again, though downsloping and warming across the banana
belt will be much less pronounced behind the cold front. Most plains
locations look to cool down into the twenties, with single digits
above zero for the San Luis Valley. Precipitation is not expected
today or tonight.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 254 AM MST Mon Feb 2 2026

Tuesday...

Looking aloft, Tuesday will see a broad upper trough amplifying over
the east half of the CONUS, while breezy northwest flow remains in
place aloft over our region. During the late afternoon hours, a
shortwave will send a cold front south across the eastern plains,
bringing a brief change to our sensible weather. High temperatures
will be a fair bit cooler than Monday, with low-mid 50s across most
areas, and 30s-40s for the mountains. Meanwhile, gusty north winds
will set in as the front approaches.

The front will arrive at the Palmer Divide sometime after about 3pm
Tuesday afternoon. Where models were initially rather dry the last
few days, precip chances have increased, due in part to the added
lift from both the upper wave and the upsloping effect on the Palmer
itself. The front will move quickly, bringing light precip to most
of the I-25 corridor and adjacent plains. Not much is expected as
far as QPF goes; the Palmer and Raton Mesa will see light snowfall
while the lower I-25 sees a rain/snow mix, depending on local
temperatures. As of now, snow is only expected to actually linger on
the ground over northern El Paso County and portions of La Veta
Pass, with up to half an inch. Elsewhere, precipitation should
largely fall as rain or melt upon hitting the ground. Caution is
advised when traveling, as roadways could become slick for a few
hours by early Wednesday morning in these areas.


Wednesday Onwards.

Cool and dry behind the front on Wednesday, with any lingering
precipitation dissipating by mid-morning. Highs will be in the high-
40s to low-50s, with clearing skies. Winds will start breezy, but
wane off later in the day as high pressure builds in over the
region.

Looking into the back half of the week, models show a rapid warmup
starting on Thursday beneath the high pressure. High temperatures
will be in the 60s across the plains, and mid-high 50s for the
valleys. Conditions will be dry across the region as well, though at
this time winds appear too weak for any elevated fire weather
concerns. This pattern will persist through at least Friday, after
with model solutions begin to split in regards to the behavior of
the upper-level flow.


&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 254 AM MST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions are expected at all three TAF sites, KCOS, KPUB, and
KALS, for the next 24 hours. Scattered to broken middle and upper-
level cloud decks are expected through much of the period, with some
clearing after 00Z. A weak cold front pushes through KCOS and KPUB
around 18Z, bringing a shift towards breezy north-northeasterly
winds.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...EHR
LONG TERM...GARBEROGLIO
AVIATION...EHR